Summary

DescriptionSwineflu uk hpa model.svg	English: Swineflu cases in the UK (HPA modelling). Español: Casos de gripe porcina en el Reino Unido (modelo de la Health Protection Agency –HPA–); año 2009.
Date	15 January 2010
Source	Graph is own work by uploader, numerical data from documents at HPA   This W3C-unspecified plot was created with Matplotlib. Category:Unspec SVG created with Matplotlib#00050501Swineflu%20uk%20hpa%20model.svg
Author	Dave Farrance

Source

Figures for 2009 Swine Flu cases in the UK (HPA modelling) for weeks 28 onward (week ending 12th July onward) sourced from HPA press release archive archive copy at the Wayback Machine beginning with the 16th July press release, and previous figures for weeks 22 to 27 (June) estimated from inspection of Fig 5 in "HPA Weekly National Influenza Report" (pdf document) for week 31. archive copy at the Wayback Machine The HPA ceased the modelling estimates after week 51 (week ending 20th December).

This graph was created with the following Python/Matplotlib script:

#!/usr/bin/env python
from pylab import *
fig5=[250, 500, 1000, 2000, 10000, 20000]
flu09=fig5 + [55000, 100000, 110000, 30000, 25000, 11000, 5000, 4500, 3000, 5000, 9000,
  14000,  18000, 27000, 53000, 78000, 84000, 64000, 53000, 46000, 22000, 11000, 9000, 6000]
rc('axes',lw=2.0)
plot(range(1,1+len(flu09)), flu09, 'rD-', lw=3.0)
xticks( array(range(0,8))*4.4+1.1,['Jun','Jul','Aug','Sep','Oct','Nov','Dec'],size=18,ha='left')
yticks(size=18)
grid(lw=0.75)
savefig('sf-hpa.svg')

Licensing

I release the graph and its source script to the public domain -- but note that the numerical data that was used to create this graph was sourced from press release documents on the HPA website, but I could find no statement of rights to that data either in the documents or on the website.

I, the copyright holder of this work, release this work into the public domain. This applies worldwide. In some countries this may not be legally possible; if so: I grant anyone the right to use this work for any purpose, without any conditions, unless such conditions are required by law.